Tigres in the second half
Yes, I took this from the Strib. It's the the Leyland lead Tigres in the second half.
Year: Record (Games lost to AL Central lead)
2010: 33-43 (From 0.5 GB to 13 GB)
2009: 38-38 (Led by 3.5 G, finished 1 GB)
2008: 27-41 (From 6.5 GB to 14.5 GB)
2007: 36-40 (Led by 1 G, finished 8 GB)
2006: 36-38 (Led by 2 G, finished 1 GB, taking wild card)
Not to say the Indians aren't for real but . . .
2 Comments:
In the immortal words of Jim Carrey..."So, you're sayin' there's a chance?!?" Looks like Leyland's best 2nd half record is .500...and since I've got nothing better to do right now, I ran the numbers. If you assume the Tigers play .500 ball again during the 2nd half, the Twins would have go 13 games over .500 (or 43-30) in the 2nd half to catch them, which would put both teams at 84-78 to finish the regular season).
On one hand, that gives me confidence, since being 13 games over .500 should be doable. On the other, there isn't a huge margin for error.
July 13, 2011 at 3:35 PM
Regardless of the indians, tiger or white sox, we pretty much have to play close tp .700 ball the second half to win enough games to reasonably wn the decision. as previously posted, i think the average number of wins for the division champs has been 93, but is often fewer (see the 87 twins with 85 wins). But you have to assume we need at least 85 wins (which is a terrible indictment on the mediocrity which passes for success in this division). To BG's point, there just isn't any room for error.
This is totally, and very reasonably, doable - seeing as we play most of those games against our absolutely terrible division. That said, so do they.
So losing a series to KC or dropping 6 of 8 against the Red Sox and Yankees would be crushers, forcing us to be nearly perfect against the Tigers, Sox and Indians. Not to mention our road trips to Texas and California (and we know how well we do on the west coast).
My message to Gardy and the clubhouse --- You took a snooze for three months. Hope you enjoyed your vacation and sick days, because you used 'em all up. You better earn your fuckin money the rest of the way. Every day. Every single day. I don't care if you're wife's giving birth. I don't care if your mother died. I don't care if you feel tired. I don't care if you're kid's miss you. I don't care if you're pussy hurts. You better get out there, and you better get your shit done, because the money for your Disneyland vacation is already spent. If we wanted to not win championships, We could save about $114 million and pay Tony Adams and the '83 Vikings Scabs about $600 bucks and a dinner at Fridays and they'd do it gladly and end up in the same place.
Coffee is for Closers, Gentlemen.
July 14, 2011 at 10:16 AM
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